Feller Diffusions, Coalescence and Sampling Distributions

MSI Colloquium, where the school comes together for afternoon tea before one speaker gives an accessible talk on their subject

schedule Date & time
Date/time
13 Jul 2023 4:00pm - 13 Jul 2023 5:00pm
person Speaker

Speakers

Conrad Burden, ANU
next_week Event series

Event series

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Brett Parker, Ian Le

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Description

Abstract:

 

In 1951 William Feller published the solution to the diffusion equation

ut(t, x) = ½{xu(t, x)}xx - ?{xu(t, x)}x

for an initial condition u(0, x) = δ(x − x0). The equation models the growth of a

population of independently reproducing individuals, and manifests as the infinite

population limit of a continuous-time birth-death process in which the birth and

death rates both become infinite while their difference remains equal to α.

The Feller diffusion is a useful population genetics model for explaining the distribution

of genetic differences across a population in terms of genetic mutations

that have happened in ancestral lineages. I will give a pedagogical description of

how the ancestral tree of a random sample of individuals (the so-called “coalescent

tree”) can be interpreted as a stochastic process running backwards in time from

the present. Once this process is determined, the distribution of allele frequencies

resulting from neutral mutations can be calculated by summing over all possible coalescent

trees and the locations within those trees at which a mutation has occurred.

 

Afternoon tea will be provided at 3:30pm

 

Location

Seminar Room 1.33, Building 145, Science Road, ANU