Feller Diffusions, Coalescence and Sampling Distributions
MSI Colloquium, where the school comes together for afternoon tea before one speaker gives an accessible talk on their subject
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Description
Abstract:
In 1951 William Feller published the solution to the diffusion equation
ut(t, x) = ½{xu(t, x)}xx - ?{xu(t, x)}x
for an initial condition u(0, x) = δ(x − x0). The equation models the growth of a
population of independently reproducing individuals, and manifests as the infinite
population limit of a continuous-time birth-death process in which the birth and
death rates both become infinite while their difference remains equal to α.
The Feller diffusion is a useful population genetics model for explaining the distribution
of genetic differences across a population in terms of genetic mutations
that have happened in ancestral lineages. I will give a pedagogical description of
how the ancestral tree of a random sample of individuals (the so-called “coalescent
tree”) can be interpreted as a stochastic process running backwards in time from
the present. Once this process is determined, the distribution of allele frequencies
resulting from neutral mutations can be calculated by summing over all possible coalescent
trees and the locations within those trees at which a mutation has occurred.
Afternoon tea will be provided at 3:30pm
Location
Seminar Room 1.33, Building 145, Science Road, ANU